Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 15.043773 17.476776 20.120486 23.199141 26.678038 30.479474 34.939593
2025-08-24 10.566753 13.798213 17.664750 22.596247 28.679238 35.894891 45.055497
2025-08-31 7.767478 11.162272 15.552564 21.567516 29.503139 39.514113 52.981435
2025-09-07 6.427325 9.997206 14.916182 22.052464 31.977565 45.106683 63.562241
2025-09-14 5.443415 9.086984 14.396651 22.492317 34.271130 50.487897 74.132932
2025-09-21 4.484687 8.015171 13.442669 22.114133 35.269593 54.057099 82.373323
2025-09-28 3.683668 7.032813 12.452027 21.500924 35.774335 56.857187 89.607398
2025-10-05 3.453139 6.949419 12.840505 23.022349 39.573364 64.658727 104.529463
2025-10-12 3.197628 6.773427 13.038375 24.228346 42.942487 71.999612 119.177968
2025-10-19 2.836012 6.338419 12.728627 24.534473 44.857943 77.192432 130.826036
2025-10-26 2.505002 5.903388 12.355032 24.671209 46.470337 81.967431 142.050040
2025-11-02 2.156980 5.371454 11.729129 24.278413 47.122710 85.198518 150.958572
2025-11-09 1.813460 4.809765 11.017130 23.736581 47.622276 88.466069 160.576351
2025-11-16 1.506298 4.270285 10.280782 23.081902 47.897642 91.446843 170.055280
2025-11-23 1.218007 3.706684 9.401671 22.027459 47.316292 92.883833 176.998559
2025-11-30 1.092175 3.517874 9.297582 22.520207 49.684042 99.635030 193.433670
2025-12-07 0.979444 3.337183 9.182023 22.967926 51.988321 106.400707 210.255000
2025-12-14 0.832680 3.025263 8.709689 22.582780 52.587583 110.062991 221.738399
2025-12-21 0.696240 2.705828 8.163634 21.958297 52.625188 112.651360 231.389293
2025-12-28 0.679713 2.753606 8.548169 23.507603 57.317623 124.354927 258.379823
2026-01-04 0.648292 2.745985 8.786861 24.735524 61.412568 135.122610 284.132217
2026-01-11 0.582616 2.606163 8.651199 25.047192 63.544150 142.164378 303.204651
2026-01-18 0.518455 2.453614 8.455635 25.186401 65.299390 148.548171 321.320567